By Andrew Gelman, Jeronimo Cortina

ISBN-10: 0521680034

ISBN-13: 9780521680035

ISBN-10: 0521861985

ISBN-13: 9780521861984

To foster a deeper realizing of the interconnection of the social sciences, economists should still recognize the place old facts come from, sociologists may still understand how to imagine like economists, political scientists would get advantages from realizing how types are validated in psychology, historians should still find out how political tactics are studied, psychologists should still comprehend sociological theories, and so on. This review via widespread social scientists supplies an obtainable, non-technical experience of the way quantitative study is finished within the social sciences. Upon completing this ebook, the reader must have a feeling of different types and other ways of considering in economics, heritage, sociology, political technological know-how and psychology, which in flip they could convey again to their significant box.

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Extra resources for A Quantitative Tour of the Social Sciences

Sample text

The United States does not have proportional representation. There’s a separate election in each congressional district, and whoever wins that election goes to Congress. In theory, a party could get 49% of the vote and still get zero representation – if it got 49% in every district in the country. More realistically, a party could get 45% of the vote and only 40% of the seats or 20% of the vote and no seats. Suppose some unfortunate third party gets 20% of the vote in every district. In one district, the Democrat might receive 42% and the Republican 38%.

Exercises for Part I 1.. Drawing from an example in a recent news article, show how you could have set up models to forecast this outcome one day, three weeks, two months, and two years before it occurred. Describe the data sources you would need to make these forecasts. What problems might you encounter in setting up these forecasts? 2.. Consider different definitions of representation in some social setting other than elected government. It should be a setting with which you are familiar (for example, your high school, your place of work, your child’s Scout troop, a professional organization to which you belong).

Exercises for Part I 1.. Drawing from an example in a recent news article, show how you could have set up models to forecast this outcome one day, three weeks, two months, and two years before it occurred. Describe the data sources you would need to make these forecasts. What problems might you encounter in setting up these forecasts? 2.. Consider different definitions of representation in some social setting other than elected government. It should be a setting with which you are familiar (for example, your high school, your place of work, your child’s Scout troop, a professional organization to which you belong).

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A Quantitative Tour of the Social Sciences by Andrew Gelman, Jeronimo Cortina


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